CFP last date
20 May 2026
Reseach Article

Financial Portfolio Optimization using Simulation and Evolutionary Artificial Intelligence

by Yousef Alajrosh, Mohamed El-dosuky
International Journal of Computer Applications
Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Volume 187 - Number 107
Year of Publication: 2026
Authors: Yousef Alajrosh, Mohamed El-dosuky
10.5120/ijcaa3c84767540f

Yousef Alajrosh, Mohamed El-dosuky . Financial Portfolio Optimization using Simulation and Evolutionary Artificial Intelligence. International Journal of Computer Applications. 187, 107 ( May 2026), 17-22. DOI=10.5120/ijcaa3c84767540f

@article{ 10.5120/ijcaa3c84767540f,
author = { Yousef Alajrosh, Mohamed El-dosuky },
title = { Financial Portfolio Optimization using Simulation and Evolutionary Artificial Intelligence },
journal = { International Journal of Computer Applications },
issue_date = { May 2026 },
volume = { 187 },
number = { 107 },
month = { May },
year = { 2026 },
issn = { 0975-8887 },
pages = { 17-22 },
numpages = {9},
url = { https://ijcaonline.org/archives/volume187/number107/financial-portfolio-optimization-using-simulation-and-evolutionary-artificial-intelligence/ },
doi = { 10.5120/ijcaa3c84767540f },
publisher = {Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA},
address = {New York, USA}
}
%0 Journal Article
%1 2026-05-21T00:17:02.068759+05:30
%A Yousef Alajrosh
%A Mohamed El-dosuky
%T Financial Portfolio Optimization using Simulation and Evolutionary Artificial Intelligence
%J International Journal of Computer Applications
%@ 0975-8887
%V 187
%N 107
%P 17-22
%D 2026
%I Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Abstract

Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT), also known as the mean–variance approach, focuses on constructing portfolios that minimize risk for a desired return or maximize return for a defined risk level. This paper integrates simulation and artificial intelligence techniques to enhance portfolio optimization, providing improved decision-making by effectively balancing risk and return. Monte Carlo simulation served as the primary simulation method. The results showed that combining MPT with advanced optimization techniques, including Monte Carlo simulation and NSGA-II that produces robust and efficient portfolios. All methods delivered consistent outcomes, with NSGA-II achieving a high Sharpe ratio of 2.113 and exhibiting early, stable convergence. Pareto-front analysis emphasized the dominance of large-cap technology stocks, particularly Apple and Amazon, with Microsoft contributing stability and Tesla appearing mainly in higher-risk allocations. The convergence of these techniques underscores the portfolio’s robustness and reflects a market environment favoring major tech leaders, illustrating the value of blending simulation and AI to balance risk and return in financial strategy.

References
  1. Esfahani, H. N., Sobhiyah, M. H., and Yousefi, V. R. 2016. Project portfolio selection via harmony search algorithm and modern portfolio theory. Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences 226, 51–58.
  2. Noaman, N. M., El-Dosuky, M. A., and Karawia, A. 2020. Financial portfolio optimization using Monte Carlo and operation research. International Journal of Computer Applications 175, 34, 43–46.
  3. Kaya, I. 2024. Understanding the mathematical background of modern portfolio theory. Press Academia Procedia 20, 1, 29–33.
  4. Muhammad, A., Aliyu, J. N., Adetunji, A. L., Adesugba, A. K., Mike, M. E., and Abdulmalik, M. 2023. Theoretical foundations and implications of neural ordinary differential equations (NODEs) for real-time portfolio optimization. Saudi Journal of Economics and Finance 7, 11, 475–483.
  5. Deb, K., Pratap, A., Agarwal, S., and Meyarivan, T. A. M. T. 2002. A fast and elitist multiobjective genetic algorithm: NSGA-II. IEEE Transactions on Evolutionary Computation 6, 2, 182–197.
  6. Cooper, R. G., Edgett, S. J., and Kleinschmidt, E. J. 2001. Portfolio management. Pegasus, New York.
  7. Markowitz, H. M., and Todd, G. P. 2000. Mean-variance analysis in portfolio choice and capital markets. John Wiley & Sons.
  8. Samuelson, P. A. 1970. The fundamental approximation theorem of portfolio analysis in terms of means, variances and higher moments. Review of Economic Studies 37, 4, 537–542.
  9. Jorion, P. 1997. Value at risk: the new benchmark for controlling market risk. Irwin Professional Pub.
  10. Rockafellar, R. T., and Uryasev, S. 2002. Conditional value-at-risk for general loss distributions. Journal of Banking & Finance 26, 7, 1443–1471.
  11. Konno, H., and Koshizuka, T. 2005. Mean-absolute deviation model. IIE Transactions 37, 10, 893–900.
  12. Young, M. R. 1998. A minimax portfolio selection rule with linear programming solution. Management Science 44, 5, 673–683.
  13. Brogan, A. J., and Stidham, S. Jr. 2008. Non-separation in the mean–lower-partial-moment portfolio optimization problem. European Journal of Operational Research 184, 2, 701–710.
  14. Goodman, R., Thornton, M., Strasser, S., and Sheppard, J. W. 2016. MICPSO: A method for incorporating dependencies into discrete particle swarm optimization. In 2016 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence (SSCI), 1–8. IEEE.
  15. Alpaydin, E. 2020. Introduction to machine learning. MIT Press.
  16. Karatzas, I., and Zhao, X. 2001. Bayesian adaptive portfolio optimization. In Option pricing, interest rates and risk management, 632–669, Handbook of Mathematical Finance. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
  17. Choi, H. K. 2018. Stock price correlation coefficient prediction with ARIMA-LSTM hybrid model. arXiv preprint arXiv:1808.01560.
  18. Moody, J., and Saffell, M. 2001. Learning to trade via direct reinforcement. IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks 12, 4, 875–889.
  19. Aboussalah, A. M., and Lee, C.-G. 2020. Continuous control with stacked deep dynamic recurrent reinforcement learning for portfolio optimization. Expert Systems with Applications 140, 112891.
  20. He, Y., and Aranha, C. 2020. Solving portfolio optimization problems using MOEA/D and levy flight. Advances in Data Science and Adaptive Analysis 12, 03n04, 2050005.
  21. Yusoff, Y., Ngadiman, M. S., and Mohd Zain, A. 2011. Overview of NSGA-II for optimizing machining process parameters. Procedia Engineering 15, 3978–3983.
  22. Reyes-Sierra, M., and Coello Coello, C. A. 2006. Multi-objective particle swarm optimizers: A survey of the state-of-the-art. International Journal of Computational Intelligence Research 2, 3, 287–308.
  23. Ranković, V., Drenovak, M., Urosevic, B., and Jelic, R. 2016. Mean-univariate GARCH VaR portfolio optimization: Actual portfolio approach. Computers & Operations Research 72, 83–92.
  24. Chou, Y.-H., Kuo, S.-Y., and Kuo, C. 2014. A dynamic stock trading system based on a multi-objective quantum-inspired tabu search algorithm. In 2014 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics (SMC), 112–119. IEEE.
  25. Investing.com. 2025. Tesla Motors historical data. https://www.investing.com/equities/tesla-motors-historical-data (last accessed 19 November 2025).
  26. Investing.com. 2025. Microsoft Corp historical data. https://www.investing.com/equities/microsoft-corp-historical-data (last accessed 19 November 2025).
  27. Investing.com. 2025. Apple Computer Inc historical data. https://www.investing.com/equities/apple-computer-inc-historical-data (last accessed 19 November 2025).
  28. Investing.com. 2025. Amazon.com Inc historical data. https://www.investing.com/equities/amazon-com-inc-historical-data (last accessed 19 November 2025).
  29. Investing.com. 2025. Google Inc historical data. https://www.investing.com/equities/google-inc-historical-data (last accessed 19 November 2025).
Index Terms

Computer Science
Information Sciences

Keywords

Modern Portfolio Theory Monte Carlo simulation Artificial Intelligence NSGA-II