CFP last date
20 August 2026
Call for Paper
September Edition
IJCA solicits high quality original research papers for the upcoming September edition of the journal. The last date of research paper submission is 20 August 2026

Submit your paper
Know more
Reseach Article

DSSOU: A Design Science Framework for NHS Non-Clinical Space Utilisation Optimisation Integrating Time-Series Forecasting, Machine Learning, and Linear Programming

by Prince Nweke Onyeka, Chinonso Job, Festus Chijioke Onwe
International Journal of Computer Applications
Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Volume 187 - Number 137
Year of Publication: 2026
Authors: Prince Nweke Onyeka, Chinonso Job, Festus Chijioke Onwe
10.5120/ijca3c45da942a12

Prince Nweke Onyeka, Chinonso Job, Festus Chijioke Onwe . DSSOU: A Design Science Framework for NHS Non-Clinical Space Utilisation Optimisation Integrating Time-Series Forecasting, Machine Learning, and Linear Programming. International Journal of Computer Applications. 187, 137 ( Aug 2026), 54-58. DOI=10.5120/ijca3c45da942a12

@article{ 10.5120/ijca3c45da942a12,
author = { Prince Nweke Onyeka, Chinonso Job, Festus Chijioke Onwe },
title = { DSSOU: A Design Science Framework for NHS Non-Clinical Space Utilisation Optimisation Integrating Time-Series Forecasting, Machine Learning, and Linear Programming },
journal = { International Journal of Computer Applications },
issue_date = { Aug 2026 },
volume = { 187 },
number = { 137 },
month = { Aug },
year = { 2026 },
issn = { 0975-8887 },
pages = { 54-58 },
numpages = {9},
url = { https://ijcaonline.org/archives/volume187/number137/dssou-a-design-science-framework-for-nhs-non-clinical-space-utilisation-optimisation-integrating-time-series-forecasting-machine-learning-and-linear-programming/ },
doi = { 10.5120/ijca3c45da942a12 },
publisher = {Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA},
address = {New York, USA}
}
%0 Journal Article
%1 2026-08-20T21:55:08.692959+05:30
%A Prince Nweke Onyeka
%A Chinonso Job
%A Festus Chijioke Onwe
%T DSSOU: A Design Science Framework for NHS Non-Clinical Space Utilisation Optimisation Integrating Time-Series Forecasting, Machine Learning, and Linear Programming
%J International Journal of Computer Applications
%@ 0975-8887
%V 187
%N 137
%P 54-58
%D 2026
%I Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Abstract

Non-clinical bookable units—meeting rooms, hot-desks, and car-parking spaces—represent a significant but analytically under-examined dimension of NHS facility management. While predictive analytics and optimisation methods are mature in the clinical capacity literature, no published framework integrates these methods specifically for NHS non-clinical space utilisation. This paper proposes DSSOU (Decision-Support System for Occupancy and Utilisation), a four-component design-science artefact grounded in the Hevner et al. design-science research methodology. DSSOU integrates: (i) temporal pattern analysis using ARIMA and Multi-Seasonal ARIMA; (ii) contextual demand prediction using Random Forest and Gradient Boosting; (iii) prescriptive space allocation using Linear Programming; and (iv) an interactive decision-support dashboard. The framework is designed to operate on NHS booking system data spanning 2016–2024 and is specified at sufficient formal detail to support immediate implementation. The data model, the formal optimisation formulation, the prediction model specification, and the artefact evaluation protocol are presented, together with a candid assessment of which components are directly supported by established precedent and which constitute genuinely novel integration. DSSOU is presented as a conceptual design-science proposal: no experimental results are reported, and a detailed, falsifiable evaluation protocol is specified by which the framework’s central claims should be tested. This paper constitutes the methodological proposal stage of a planned empirical study.

References
  1. N. P. Onyeka, “Predictive analytics, machine learning, and optimisation for healthcare facility space management: A critical review of methods, evidence gaps, and a research agenda for NHS non-clinical spaces,” Companion paper, submitted concurrently, 2025.
  2. NHS Property Services, “Introduction to estate optimisation and space utilisation,” https://www.property.nhs.uk/media/bpxhg1tg/introduction-to-estate-optimisation-and-space-utilisation_202425_v4.pdf, 2024, accessed 31 July 2025.
  3. NHS England, “Delivering productivity through the NHS estate,” https://www.england.nhs.uk/long-read/delivering-productivity-through-the-nhs-estate/, 2024, accessed 31 July 2025.
  4. A. R. Hevner, S. T. March, J. Park, and S. Ram, “Design science in information systems research,” MIS Quarterly, vol. 28, no. 1, pp. 75–105, 2004.
  5. E. Eyles, M. T. Redaniel, T. Jones, M. Prat, and T. Keen, “Can we accurately forecast non-elective bed occupancy and admissions in the NHS? A time-series MSARIMA analysis of longitudinal data from an NHS trust,” BMJ Open, vol. 12, no. 4, p. e056523, 2022.
  6. H. Seo, I. Ahn, H. Gwon, H. Kang, Y. Kim, H. Choi, M. Kim, J. Han, G. Kee, S. Park, S. Ko, H. Jung, B. Kim, J. Oh, T. J. Jun, and Y.-H. Kim, “Forecasting hospital room and ward occupancy using static and dynamic information concurrently: Retrospective single-center cohort study,” JMIR Medical Informatics, vol. 12, p. e53400, 2024.
  7. M. Ordu, E. Demir, C. Tofallis, and M. M. Gunal, “A novel healthcare resource allocation decision support tool: A forecasting-simulation-optimization approach,” Journal of the Operational Research Society, vol. 72, no. 3, pp. 485–500, 2021.
  8. F. Parker, D. A. Martínez, J. Scheulen, and K. Ghobadi, “An interactive decision-support dashboard for optimal hospital capacity management,” arXiv preprint arXiv:2403.15634, 2024, available at https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.15634.
  9. S. Grøntved, M. J. Kirkeby, S. P. Johnsen, J. Mainz, J. B. Valentin, and C. M. Jensen, “Towards reliable forecasting of healthcare capacity needs: A scoping review and evidence mapping,” International Journal of Medical Informatics, vol. 189, p. 105527, 2024.
  10. M. R. Johnson, H. Naik, W. S. Chan, J. Greiner, M. Michaleski, D. Liu, B. Silvestre, and I. P. McCarthy, “Forecasting ward-level bed requirements to aid pandemic resource planning: Lessons learned and future directions,” Health Care Management Science, 2023.
  11. A. Singh, P. E. Farmer, J. L. Tully, R. S. Waterman, and R. A. Gabriel, “Forecasting surgical bed utilization: Architectural design of a machine learning pipeline incorporating predicted length of stay and surgical volume,” Journal of Medical Systems, vol. 49, no. 1, p. 67, 2025.
  12. A. Ala, F. E. Alsaadi, M. Ahmadi, and S. Mirjalili, “Optimization of an appointment scheduling problem for healthcare systems based on the quality of fairness service using whale optimization algorithm and NSGA-II,” Scientific Reports, vol. 11, p. 9885, 2021.
Index Terms

Computer Science
Information Sciences

Keywords

Design Science Research NHS facility management space utilisation optimisation ARIMA forecasting machine learning linear programming decision-support dashboard booking systems