CFP last date
20 October 2025
Reseach Article

Development of an Enhanced Small and Medium-Scale Enterprise Loan Distribution System using an Ensemble Method

by Halimat Ahuoyiza Zubair, Malik Adeiza Rufai, Frederick Duniya Basaky, Salaudeen Folashade Aminat, Bello Ojochide Joy
International Journal of Computer Applications
Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Volume 187 - Number 44
Year of Publication: 2025
Authors: Halimat Ahuoyiza Zubair, Malik Adeiza Rufai, Frederick Duniya Basaky, Salaudeen Folashade Aminat, Bello Ojochide Joy
10.5120/ijca2025925752

Halimat Ahuoyiza Zubair, Malik Adeiza Rufai, Frederick Duniya Basaky, Salaudeen Folashade Aminat, Bello Ojochide Joy . Development of an Enhanced Small and Medium-Scale Enterprise Loan Distribution System using an Ensemble Method. International Journal of Computer Applications. 187, 44 ( Sep 2025), 18-26. DOI=10.5120/ijca2025925752

@article{ 10.5120/ijca2025925752,
author = { Halimat Ahuoyiza Zubair, Malik Adeiza Rufai, Frederick Duniya Basaky, Salaudeen Folashade Aminat, Bello Ojochide Joy },
title = { Development of an Enhanced Small and Medium-Scale Enterprise Loan Distribution System using an Ensemble Method },
journal = { International Journal of Computer Applications },
issue_date = { Sep 2025 },
volume = { 187 },
number = { 44 },
month = { Sep },
year = { 2025 },
issn = { 0975-8887 },
pages = { 18-26 },
numpages = {9},
url = { https://ijcaonline.org/archives/volume187/number44/development-of-an-enhanced-small-and-medium-scale-enterprise-loan-distribution-system-using-an-ensemble-method/ },
doi = { 10.5120/ijca2025925752 },
publisher = {Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA},
address = {New York, USA}
}
%0 Journal Article
%1 2025-09-23T00:37:27.914188+05:30
%A Halimat Ahuoyiza Zubair
%A Malik Adeiza Rufai
%A Frederick Duniya Basaky
%A Salaudeen Folashade Aminat
%A Bello Ojochide Joy
%T Development of an Enhanced Small and Medium-Scale Enterprise Loan Distribution System using an Ensemble Method
%J International Journal of Computer Applications
%@ 0975-8887
%V 187
%N 44
%P 18-26
%D 2025
%I Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Abstract

Small and Medium-Scale Enterprises (SMEs) are critical to Nigeria’s economic growth, yet many face persistent barriers to accessing timely and affordable financing. Traditional loan distribution systems often rely on manual, subjective assessments that are inefficient, biased, and limited in scope. This study presents the design and implementation of an Enhanced SME Loan Distribution System leveraging ensemble machine learning methods: Random Forest, XGBoost, and Logistic Regression to improve loan approval accuracy, efficiency, and fairness. Using a real-world SME loan dataset, the system applies data preprocessing, feature engineering, and model integration through a voting ensemble approach. Performance evaluation shows the ensemble model outperforms baseline classifiers, achieving 82.4% accuracy, 81.3% precision, 80.5% recall, and an ROC-AUC score of 0.86. The system also demonstrated robustness in varied data scenarios and improved decision-making transparency. Key contributions include a scalable framework for SME loan assessment, integration of multiple predictive models, and a user-friendly interface for lenders. This work advances the application of machine learning in financial decision-making and offers practical implications for enhancing financial inclusion in developing economies. Recommendations are provided for improving model generalizability, interpretability, and compliance with ethical lending practices.

References
  1. Amare, A. (2021). A Loan Default Prediction Model for Acsi: A Data Mining Approach.
  2. Chen, T., & Guestrin, C. (2016). XGBoost: A scalable tree boosting system. Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, 785–794.
  3. Dietterich, T. G. (2000). Ensemble methods in machine learning. International Workshop on Multiple Classifier Systems, 1–15. Springer.
  4. Dhruba, M. I. M., Nawab, H. G., Sazzad, H., Syed, Z. H., & Shoumo, H. A. (2019). Application of Machine Learning in Credit Risk Assessment: A Prelude to Smart Banking.
  5. Du, J., Li, F., Chen, Q., & Zeng, Y. (2019). Big data analytics and AI to improve the efficiency of SME financing. Enterprise Information Systems, 13(9), 1344–1360.
  6. Gopichand, M. (2023). Using Novel Logistic Regression over K-Nearest Neighbor for Improved Accuracy in Loan Prediction.
  7. Hand, D. J., & Henley, W. E. (1997). Statistical classification methods in consumer credit scoring: A review. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), 160(3), 523–541.
  8. Kipkogei, F., Kabano, I. H., Murorunkwere, B. F., & Joseph, N. (2021). Business success prediction in Rwanda: A comparison of tree-based models and logistic regression classifiers.
  9. Li, J., Liu, H., Yang, Z., & Han, L. (2021). A Credit Risk Model with Small Sample Data Based on G-XGBoost.
  10. Louzada, F., Ara, A., & Fernandes, G. (2016). Classification methods applied to credit scoring: Systematic review and overall comparison. Surveys in Operations Research and Management Science, 21, 117–134.
  11. Opitz, D., & Maclin, R. (1999). Popular ensemble methods: An empirical study. Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research, 11, 169–198.
  12. Oyedeji, O. (2023). SMEs face cash crunch as banks prioritise large enterprises. Dataphyte.
  13. Shinde, et al. (2022). Loan Prediction System Using Machine Learning.
  14. Sheikh, M. A., Goel, A. K., & Kumar, T. (2020). An Approach for Prediction of Loan Approval using Machine Learning Algorithm.
  15. Song, Y., & Wu, R. (2021). The Impact of Financial Enterprises’ Excessive Financialization Risk Assessment for Risk Control based on Data Mining and Machine Learning.
  16. Supriya, P., Pavani, M., & Saisushma, N. (2021). Home Loan Prediction Using Machine Learning Models.
  17. Wang, S., You, S., & Zhou, S. (2023). Loan Prediction Using Machine Learning Methods. Proceedings of the International Conference on Financial Technology and Business Analysis.
  18. Xiao, Y., Zhang, W., Pang, Y., & Xie, J. (2020). Semi-supervised novelty detection for small-scale imbalanced credit data classification. Neurocomputing, 387, 91–102.
  19. Zhang, Q. (2020). Loan risk prediction model based on Random Forest. Journal of Engineering Science and Technology, 2(2), 1–7.
Index Terms

Computer Science
Information Sciences

Keywords

SMEs Loan Assessment Random Forest XGBoost Logistic Regression Financial Inclusion