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AI-Driven Vendor-Managed Inventory (VMI) Systems: A Causal Inference Framework for Lowering Carrying Costs in Multi-Tier Supply Networks

by Anil Mandloi, Prakhi Mandloi
International Journal of Computer Applications
Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Volume 187 - Number 88
Year of Publication: 2026
Authors: Anil Mandloi, Prakhi Mandloi
10.5120/ijca2026926528

Anil Mandloi, Prakhi Mandloi . AI-Driven Vendor-Managed Inventory (VMI) Systems: A Causal Inference Framework for Lowering Carrying Costs in Multi-Tier Supply Networks. International Journal of Computer Applications. 187, 88 ( Mar 2026), 22-28. DOI=10.5120/ijca2026926528

@article{ 10.5120/ijca2026926528,
author = { Anil Mandloi, Prakhi Mandloi },
title = { AI-Driven Vendor-Managed Inventory (VMI) Systems: A Causal Inference Framework for Lowering Carrying Costs in Multi-Tier Supply Networks },
journal = { International Journal of Computer Applications },
issue_date = { Mar 2026 },
volume = { 187 },
number = { 88 },
month = { Mar },
year = { 2026 },
issn = { 0975-8887 },
pages = { 22-28 },
numpages = {9},
url = { https://ijcaonline.org/archives/volume187/number88/ai-driven-vendor-managed-inventory-vmi-systems-a-causal-inference-framework-for-lowering-carrying-costs-in-multi-tier-supply-networks/ },
doi = { 10.5120/ijca2026926528 },
publisher = {Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA},
address = {New York, USA}
}
%0 Journal Article
%1 2026-03-20T22:55:20.798216+05:30
%A Anil Mandloi
%A Prakhi Mandloi
%T AI-Driven Vendor-Managed Inventory (VMI) Systems: A Causal Inference Framework for Lowering Carrying Costs in Multi-Tier Supply Networks
%J International Journal of Computer Applications
%@ 0975-8887
%V 187
%N 88
%P 22-28
%D 2026
%I Foundation of Computer Science (FCS), NY, USA
Abstract

Carrying costs which include inventory holding, obsolescence, and lost opportunity costs are a big obstacle to improving efficiency in multi-tier supply chain networks. This paper proposes an AI-enhanced Vendor Managed Inventory (VMI) system, backed by a causal inference framework, to solve this problem by optimizing inventory levels and reducing costs. Machine learning is employed for demand forecasting, whereas decision-making for replenishment is done by reinforcement learning. Furthermore, the framework uses causal methods like propensity score matching (PSM) and difference-in-differences (DiD) to measure the effect of AI intervention. A simulation experiment of a three-tier supply chain (supplier manufacturer retailer) demonstrates how a 20-30% reduction in carrying costs might be accomplished. The approach solves the issue of supply chain data endogeneity and provides manufacturing as well as retail sectors with reusable knowledge. The findings of this paper show that AI optimization along with causal analysis constitute a potent method for launching green supply chain management.

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Index Terms

Computer Science
Information Sciences

Keywords

AI-enhanced VMI Vendor Managed Inventory carrying costs causal inference reinforcement learning demand forecasting multi-tier supply chain inventory optimization sustainable SCM Industry 4.0.