Call for Paper - January 2024 Edition
IJCA solicits original research papers for the January 2024 Edition. Last date of manuscript submission is December 20, 2023. Read More

Taylor Series Prediction of Time Series Data with Error Propagated by Artificial Neural Network

Print
PDF
International Journal of Computer Applications
© 2014 by IJCA Journal
Volume 89 - Number 1
Year of Publication: 2014
Authors:
S. Alamelu Mangai
B. Ravi Sankar
K. Alagarsamy
10.5120/15470-4112

Alamelu S Mangai, Ravi B Sankar and K Alagarsamy. Article: Taylor Series Prediction of Time Series Data with Error Propagated by Artificial Neural Network. International Journal of Computer Applications 89(1):41-47, March 2014. Full text available. BibTeX

@article{key:article,
	author = {S. Alamelu Mangai and B. Ravi Sankar and K. Alagarsamy},
	title = {Article: Taylor Series Prediction of Time Series Data with Error Propagated by Artificial Neural Network},
	journal = {International Journal of Computer Applications},
	year = {2014},
	volume = {89},
	number = {1},
	pages = {41-47},
	month = {March},
	note = {Full text available}
}

Abstract

Modeling and forecasting of a time series data is an integral part of the Data Mining. Sun spot numbers observed on the sun are a good candidate for a time series. A number of linear statistical models are discussed in this paper because Taylor series has similarity with an Auto Regressive model. A new algorithm based on Taylor series expansion and artificial neural network is presented. Based on Taylor series algorithm and ARIMA model, the Sunspot numbers are forecasted and compared.

References

  • Box G. E. P, Jenkins G. M and Reinsel G. C, 1994, "Time Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control", Prentice Hall.
  • G. Peter Zhang, "Time series forecasting using a hybrid ARIMA and neural network model", ELSEVIER, Neurocomputing 50 (2003) 159 – 175.
  • Qiang Yang, Haining Henry Zhang and Hui Zhang, "Taylor Series Prediction: A Cache Replacement Policy based on Second-order Trend Analysis", Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences 01/2001; 5:5023, ISBN 0-7695-0981-9.
  • Hosein Marzi and Mark Turnbull, "Use of Neural Networks in Forecasting Financial Market", 2007 IEEE International Conference on Granular Computing, IEEE Computer Society.
  • Chengqun Yin, Lifeng Kang and Wei Sun, "Hybrid Neural Network Model for Short-Term Load Forecasting", Third International Conference on Natural Computation (ICNC 2007), IEEE Computer Society.
  • Seema Mahajan and Himanshu Mazumdar, "Rainfall Prediction using Neural Net based Frequency Analysis Approach", International Journal of Computer Application, Volume 84 – No 9, December 2013.
  • Salman Quaiyum, Yousuf Ibrahim Khan, Saidur Rahman and Parijat Barman, "Artificial Neural Network based Short Term Load Forecasting of Power Systems", International Journal of Computer Application, Volume 30 – No 4, September 2011
  • McNish. A. G and J. V. Lincoln, Transactions of American Geophysical Union 30 (1949) 673-685.
  • RossIhaka,"Time Series Analysis", available at the URL https://www. stat. auckland. ac. nz/~ihaka/726/notes. pdf
  • George B. Arfken and Hans J. Weber, 2001, "Mathematical Methods for Physicists", pp. 334-340, Academic Press.